The LARGEST Wealth Transfer has just begun while the markets begin to plummet – here’s my strategy and how to invest in a recession. Enjoy! Add me on Instagram: GPStephan – Trade Bitcoin, Doge, and other crypto with zero fees on FTX. Use my referral code GRAHAM and get up to $100 FOR FREE: https://ftx.us/partners/graham
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There IS some good news, in the fact that – NOW could be the great opportunity to invest, becauseâŚTHIS where the money is made.
In terms of the AVERAGE bull marketâŚif we DONâT include drops of less than 20%, the AVERAGE bull market has lasted 9.1 YEARS with a cumulative return of 476%. If we INCLUDE drops of LESS than 20%, which are more like minor hiccups along the wayâŚthe AVERAGE Bull Market still lasts an average of 4 YEARS, with a cumulative return of 129%.Â
But, that doesnât necessarily mean that the next bull market is going to last for 48 monthsâŚbecause, if we start going back in history.âŚsince 1940, the shortest Bull Market we have EVER HAD was just after the Dot Com bubble where the markets rose 21.4% over 3.4 months, before then declining another 33.8% during the FOLLOWING 9 months.Â
We also have a very BRIEF period where the markets rose 24% during the Great Recession over 1.5 months, before then falling another 27% 2 months later.
During the Great Depression, there are plenty of examples bull markets lasting just DAYSâŚlike, a 23 DAY LONG Bull market, with a 25% gain. After that, there was a 42% dropâŚfollowed by another 1 months of a bull market going back up 30%.
So, just given this context…even though, on average, bull markets do LAST LONGER than bear marketsâŚhistory has shown us that volatility is EXTREMELY COMMON, and seeing drops or gains of 20% in either direction isnât as extreme as you would think.
Itâs also shown that “Half of the S&P 500 Indexâs strongest days in the last 20 years occurred during a bear market. Another 34% of the marketâs best days took place in the first two months of a bull marketâbefore it was clear a bull market had begun.â
The fact is, if you buy consistently, on a regular basis, regardless of where the market is trading, with the intention of holding for at least 10-20 yearsâŚhistoricallyâŚyou would have NEVER LOST MONEYâŚyeah, seriouslyâŚif you just buy a set amount, on auto-pilot, without panicking and timing the marketâŚyouâll typically make more money, AND faster, than anyone else with a different strategy.
“All Iâm getting at is, in each of these market crashes, it could be argued that âthis time is differentâ – and, indeed, it IS different. No two bear markets are ever going to be the same, and once we run out of UNKNOWNS for what will happen in the markets – I believe stocks will begin to recover. No idea how long thatâll take, BUTâŚI have a feeling weâll be able to look back at THIS, and see it as one of the best buying opportunities out there.”*
*Thatâs what I said at the LOWEST POINT OF THE MARKET ON March 20th, 2020âŚand THAT is what I believe, today. Thatâs certainly NOT to say it canât drop even more, and heyâŚit mightâŚBUT, for anyone who has ever commented or wished that they couldâve invested in early 2020âŚwell, in a way, now is your chance.
As Warren Buffet says: âThe stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.â
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Creator Properties – This communication does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy an interest in any fund or investment vehicle. Any such offer, sale or solicitation will be made only pursuant to a confidential private placement memorandum, limited partnership agreement or operating agreement, and subscription documents.
*Some of the links and other products that appear on this video are from companies which Graham Stephan will earn an affiliate commission or referral bonus. Graham Stephan is part of an affiliate network and receives compensation for sending traffic to partner sites. The content in this video is accurate as of the posting date. Some of the offers mentioned may no longer be available. This is not investment advice. Public Offer valid for U.S. residents 18+ and subject to account approval. There may be other fees associated with trading. See Public.com/disclosures/
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